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Category: Statistics

Photo of cross-country skiing in Norway

Friends don’t let friends run moderated cross-country regressions

May 20, 2026 Julia Rohrer 2 Comments

Header image: Moderate cross-country slopes (Photo: By Erik W. Kolstad – Flickr, CC BY 2.0,) Here’s a particular genre of…

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Posted in: Causal inference, Measurement, Statistics
THINK INSIDE THE BOX

Think inside the box, part 1: The guy Euclidean distance told you not to worry about

March 9, 2026 Ruben Arslan Leave a comment

Romance could be so simple if only we were two-dimensional. You just find the closest available partner and go for…

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Posted in: Causal inference, Crosspost, Measurement, Statistics Filed under: causal inference, measurement, simulation, statistics
Three horseman: age, period, cohort

One approach to the age-period-cohort problem: Just don’t.

February 13, 2026 Julia Rohrer 2 Comments

Just to cause yourself more problems, you seek for something. But there is no need for you to seek anything.…

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Posted in: Causal inference, Statistics

If you have two measures of the same confounder, you can just include both of them in your regression model

October 13, 2025 Julia Rohrer 3 Comments

Corrigendum: There was an embarrassing mistake in the SEM part of the original version of this blog post which has…

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Posted in: Causal inference, Measurement, Statistics, Teaching

What’s in a correlation?

July 28, 2025 Julia Rohrer 2 Comments

Correlation may not imply causation, but let’s just ignore that for a second. Correlations are standardized effect size metrics and…

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Posted in: Metrics, Statistics, Teaching
Iceberg with text superimposed, from top to bottom: (1) Yes, you probably do want those random intercepts (2) Time-varying confounding (3) The "correct" time lag (4) It's only prediction! Why you heff to be mad.

Reviewer notes: So you’re interested in “lagged effects.”

June 25, 2025 Julia Rohrer Leave a comment

In some fields, researchers who end up with time series of two variables of interest (X and Y) like to…

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Posted in: Causal inference, Reviewer notes, Statistics

Reviewer notes: That’s a very nice mediation analysis you have there. It would be a shame if something happened to it.

March 20, 2025 Julia Rohrer 16 Comments

Mediation analysis has gotten a lot of flak, including classic titles such as “Yes, but what’s the mechanism? (Don’t expect…

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Posted in: Causal inference, Statistics, Teaching

Reviewer notes: In a randomized experiment, the pre-post differences are not effect estimates

January 22, 2025 Julia Rohrer 4 Comments

Reviewer notes are a new short format with brief explanations of basic ideas that might come in handy during (for…

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Posted in: Causal inference, Reviewer notes, Statistics, Teaching
Sampling distribution of the mean with an observed mean and the resulting confidence interval indicated by a shruggie emoji

Why you are not allowed to say that your 95% confidence interval contains the true parameter with a probability of 95%

December 5, 2024 Julia Rohrer 7 Comments

A shibboleth is a custom, such as a choice of phrasing, that distinguishes one group of people from another. The…

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Posted in: Statistics, Teaching

Idiographic Approaches in Psychology: Hold your horses

October 28, 2024 Julia Rohrer Leave a comment

There have been persistent calls spurring psychologists to do more “idiographic” research, starting even before Peter Molenaar’s “Manifesto on Psychology…

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Posted in: Causal inference, Statistics

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  • One approach to the age-period-cohort problem: Just don’t.
  • If you have two measures of the same confounder, you can just include both of them in your regression model

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